15.05.2026 "Modern Science and Research" xalqaro ilmiy jurnali 1 seriyasi. Volume 5 Issue 5
Abstract. This article examines the relationship between high-technology development and industrial goods export potential across six EU member states - Germany, Sweden, the Netherlands, the Czech Republic, Poland and Romania - and derives implications for Uzbekistan. Drawing on Eurostat, OECD, and Uzbekistan official data for 2015–2025, a Fixed Effects panel regression (N = 270; β = 10.35; p < 0.001; Adj. R² = 0.621) confirms a statistically significant positive impact of R&D intensity on industrial output. Uzbekistan's high-tech export share stands at only 2.8% of total exports against R&D spending of 0.17 - 0.20% of GDP - below even the EU's weakest performer. A six-recommendation framework (R1–R6), grounded in EU precedents, defines concrete pathways to expand Uzbekistan's high-technology industrial export potential by 2030.
Keywords: high technologies, export potential, industrial goods, R&D, Uzbekistan, European Union, panel regression, industrial modernization.